Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Current Probability
20.5%
24h Change
-3.1 pp
Signal Score
50/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability fell 3.1pp; volume is 29.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 3.1pp
- 24h volume is 29.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $145,513
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
20.5%
24h Change
-3.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$173.6K
Volume vs Baseline
29.7x baseline
Liquidity
$145.5K
Market Significance
High (81)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 101 days
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Attention Score
72
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.