Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Open · Resolves in 145 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

10.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

Signal Score

49/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 5.0pp; volume is 25.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 5.0pp
24h volume is 25.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $135,286

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

10.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

169 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	15.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	15.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$93.0K

Volume vs Baseline

25.5x baseline

Liquidity

$135.3K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 145 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.

Probability Momentum 17

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗