Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+0.8 pp
Signal Score
33/100
Data Confidence
High (86)
24h probability rose 0.8pp; volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 0.8pp
- 24h volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $194,609
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
100.0%
24h Change
+0.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$117.8K
Volume vs Baseline
1.7x baseline
Liquidity
$194.6K
Market Significance
High (79)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 99 days
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Attention Score
35
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.