Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Open · Resolves in 265 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

volume is 28.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 12:30 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability was effectively unchanged
24h volume is 28.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $392,754

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

149 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 12:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$125.6K

Volume vs Baseline

28.8x baseline

Liquidity

$392.8K

Market Significance

High (85)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 265 days

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗