Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Current Probability
4.0%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
Signal Score
19/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability rose 0.1pp; volume is 1.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 0.1pp
- 24h volume is 1.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $86,877
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
4.0%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 4.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 4.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 4.2% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 4.2% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 4.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 4.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 4.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 4.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 4.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 4.2% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 4.2% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 4.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 4.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 4.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 4.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 4.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 4.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$26.6K
Volume vs Baseline
1.4x baseline
Liquidity
$86.9K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 149 days
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Attention Score
26
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 19/100.