Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Open · Resolves in 34 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 13:29 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • 24h volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $202,450

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.3% · Sep 23, 01:15 PM

0% 3% 1% Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 23 Current 0.3% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.3%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

146 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 01:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 1:15:00 PM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 7:30:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$93.7K

Volume vs Baseline

4.8x baseline

Liquidity

$202.5K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 34 days

End Date

Oct 27, 2026

Attention Score

67

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 98
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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