Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Current Probability
0.4%
24h Change
+0.3 pp
Signal Score
46/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability rose 0.3pp; volume is 8.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 0.3pp
- 24h volume is 8.6x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $137,651
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.4%
24h Change
+0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 11:45:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$69.3K
Volume vs Baseline
8.6x baseline
Liquidity
$137.7K
Market Significance
High (78)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 149 days
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Attention Score
68
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.