Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Open · Resolves in 149 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Medium (53)

volume is 0.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 07:42 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • 24h volume is 0.6x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $138,007

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.3% · Jul 30, 07:30 AM

0% 3% 1% Jul 29 Jul 29 Jul 30 Jul 30 Current 0.3% · 7d of stored history · 16 pts

Current

0.3%

24h Change

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.3%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$30.5K

Volume vs Baseline

0.6x baseline

Liquidity

$138.0K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 149 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 85
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Medium (53)

Next Steps

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