Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Open · Resolves in 140 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

+0.2 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 0.2pp; volume is 54.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 11:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 0.2pp
24h volume is 54.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $81,741

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.4%

24h Change

+0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 11:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM	0.3%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/11/2026, 8:45:00 PM	0.4%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$136.1K

Volume vs Baseline

54.0x baseline

Liquidity

$81.7K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 140 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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