Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current Probability
27.5%
24h Change
+5.0 pp
Signal Score
47/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability rose 5.0pp; volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 5.0pp
- 24h volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $93,014
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
27.5%
24h Change
+5.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-1.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$92.8K
Volume vs Baseline
4.9x baseline
Liquidity
$93.0K
Market Significance
High (78)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 99 days
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Attention Score
73
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.