Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Current Probability
43.3%
24h Change
+2.0 pp
Signal Score
25/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability rose 2.0pp; volume is 1.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 2.0pp
- 24h volume is 1.2x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $65,801
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
43.3%
24h Change
+2.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM | 43.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 43.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 43.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 43.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 42.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 41.8% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 42.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 42.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 44.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 44.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 43.8% |
| 7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 44.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 43.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 43.4% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 41.9% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 42.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 42.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 42.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 42.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 42.8% |
| 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 43.7% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 43.6% |
| 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 43.3% |
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 43.1% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$23.4K
Volume vs Baseline
1.2x baseline
Liquidity
$65.8K
Market Significance
High (75)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 150 days
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Attention Score
23
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 7
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 10
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 82
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 46
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (82)