Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

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Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+34.4 pp

Signal Score

82/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 34.4pp; volume is 3.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 34.4pp
24h volume is 3.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $58,627

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+34.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

165 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM	99.7%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM	99.7%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM	99.8%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM	99.8%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM	99.4%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.6%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM	99.6%
9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM	99.7%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM	98.7%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM	87.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	78.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	67.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	66.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	66.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	65.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	65.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	65.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	65.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	65.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$156.7K

Volume vs Baseline

3.8x baseline

Liquidity

$58.6K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 82/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 82

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

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