Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+22.6 pp

Signal Score

78/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability rose 22.6pp; volume is 23.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 26 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-26 04:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 22.6pp
  • 24h volume is 23.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $37,271

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

100.0%

24h Change

+22.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$199.5K

Volume vs Baseline

23.0x baseline

Liquidity

$37.3K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jun 16, 2026

Attention Score

91

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 78/100.

Probability Momentum 75
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 40
Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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