Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

F1 Constructors' Champion

Open · Resolves in 124 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.3pp; volume is 27.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 07:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.3pp
  • 24h volume is 27.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $270,622

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 2, 07:30 AM

0% 3% 1% Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 2 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

117 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM 0.1%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$79.4K

Volume vs Baseline

27.4x baseline

Liquidity

$270.6K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 124 days

End Date

Dec 6, 2026

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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