Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Open · Resolves in 99 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

33.0%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 2.0pp; volume is 11.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 35 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-20 08:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 2.0pp
  • 24h volume is 11.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $45,179

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

33.0%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$80.8K

Volume vs Baseline

11.1x baseline

Liquidity

$45.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 99 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.