Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+19.3 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 19.2pp; volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 36 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-19 04:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 19.2pp
  • 24h volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $263,775

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

100.0%

24h Change

+19.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$78.2K

Volume vs Baseline

4.5x baseline

Liquidity

$263.8K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

84

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 64
Volume Activity 93
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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