Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+12.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability rose 12.5pp; volume is 11.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 45 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 12.5pp
  • 24h volume is 11.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $105,776

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

100.0%

24h Change

+12.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$580.6K

Volume vs Baseline

11.4x baseline

Liquidity

$105.8K

Market Significance

High (85)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 4, 2026

Attention Score

82

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 42
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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